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Fluke

Chance, Chaos, and Why Everything We Do Matters

ebook
1 of 1 copy available
1 of 1 copy available
This "captivating illustration of the follies of trying to model and forecast the unpredictable world" (Financial Times) is both "empowering" (The New Statesman, UK) and "compelling" (New Scientist) as it challenges our most fundamental assumptions—by social scientist and Atlantic writer Brian Klaas, whom Prospect magazine has named one of the world's "Top 25 Thinkers."
If you could rewind your life to the very beginning and then press play, would everything turn out the same? Or could making an accidental phone call or missing an exit off the highway change not just your life, but history itself?

In Fluke, myth-shattering social scientist Brian Klaas takes a deep-dive into the phenomenon of random chance and the chaos it can sow, taking aim at most people's neat and tidy version of reality. The book's argument is that we willfully ignore a bewildering truth: but for a few small changes, our lives—and our societies—could be radically different.

Offering an entirely new lens, Fluke explores how our world really works, driven by strange interactions and apparently random events. How did one couple's vacation cause 100,000 people to die? Does our decision to hit the snooze button in the morning radically alter the trajectory of our lives? And has the evolution of humans been inevitable, or are we simply the product of a series of freak accidents?

Drawing on social science, chaos theory, history, evolutionary biology, and philosophy, Klaas provides a brilliantly fresh look at why things happen—all while providing mind-bending lessons on how we can live smarter, be happier, and lead more fulfilling lives.
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    • Library Journal

      August 1, 2023

      In Fluke, Atlantic contributor Klaas argues that small, random events can radically alter our lives--and history itself. Prepub Alert.

      Copyright 2023 Library Journal

      Copyright 2023 Library Journal, LLC Used with permission.

    • Kirkus

      February 1, 2024
      In which the course of life becomes a series of dice rolls, each of no small consequence. The history of humankind, writes Atlantic contributor Klaas, "is just an endless, but futile, struggle to impose order, certainty, and rationality onto a world defined by disorder, chance, and chaos." Furthermore, our actions have consequences that can't always be foreseen. The author begins with the example of American statesman Henry Stimson, who stayed in a posh hotel in Kyoto, Japan, in the mid-1920s and 20 years later ordered that the city be spared from an atomic bombing, leaving Hiroshima and Nagasaki to take the blow. What might have happened had Stimson not stayed there? The world, he writes, "seems to seesaw between contingency and convergence." It is an infinite improbability that we are alive today, and yet here we are, thanks to an asteroid impact (and/or volcano eruptions) that incinerated the dinosaurs and ended the age of reptiles. Against all this, one should never be surprised when Nassim Nicholas Taleb's black swans come home to roost. "Our lives are frequently disrupted by large social shocks such as financial crises, pandemics, and wars," Klaas notes, and whenever we try to control the complex systems that drive them, we usually wind up on the losing side of the enterprise. Contingency rules, and, as the author sagely notes, we should congratulate ourselves less heartily for success and kick ourselves less savagely for failure. Yet in a world of chance, we still have an effect: "What you do matters. But it also matters that it's you, and not somebody else, who's doing it." The book can provoke existential unease, but it also helps explain the cockamamie nature of the way things are, and it's an always-interesting read. A handy user's manual to a surprising, improbable, "infinitely complex" world.

      COPYRIGHT(2024) Kirkus Reviews, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

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